Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 1.540703 1.939513 2.483238 3.316087 4.638596 6.830834 11.245870
2025-10-12 1.086580 1.512184 2.199240 3.524888 6.485608 14.912334 66.253742
2025-10-19 0.838737 1.232906 1.934076 3.503518 8.053397 30.879186 10594.129122
2025-10-26 0.679919 1.032780 1.699344 3.346357 9.166705 62.366962 NaN
2025-11-02 0.593312 0.929579 1.602826 3.443940 11.628406 240.259947 NaN
2025-11-09 0.536253 0.864236 1.557517 3.653636 15.753501 51551.774736 NaN
2025-11-16 0.480787 0.789006 1.464049 3.650782 19.148212 NaN NaN
2025-11-23 0.429309 0.712026 1.344360 3.480974 20.870680 NaN NaN
2025-11-30 0.402351 0.680116 1.325559 3.686721 29.486166 NaN NaN
2025-12-07 0.372842 0.637884 1.269093 3.704176 37.148325 NaN NaN
2025-12-14 0.343056 0.590873 1.189246 3.569166 41.395336 NaN NaN
2025-12-21 0.319684 0.554864 1.131826 3.510433 49.165427 NaN NaN
2025-12-28 0.311629 0.552036 1.167603 3.973541 108.801302 NaN NaN
2026-01-04 0.298641 0.536322 1.162933 4.232544 233.005570 NaN NaN
2026-01-11 0.281452 0.508758 1.116477 4.201771 371.072184 NaN NaN
2026-01-18 0.263129 0.476648 1.050134 3.996344 425.202112 NaN NaN
2026-01-25 0.252291 0.461097 1.032866 4.123325 1303.624957 NaN NaN
2026-02-01 0.244491 0.451884 1.033940 4.397988 342349.094014 NaN NaN
2026-02-08 0.233508 0.433800 1.002340 4.394231 NaN NaN NaN
2026-02-15 0.220750 0.410293 0.948884 4.171654 NaN NaN NaN
2026-02-22 0.215029 0.403597 0.951264 4.441518 NaN NaN NaN
2026-03-01 0.206909 0.390176 0.928076 4.464509 NaN NaN NaN
2026-03-08 0.197347 0.372411 0.887066 4.287073 NaN NaN NaN